How Does Inflation Affect Your Retirement Savings?

How Does Inflation Affect Your Retirement Savings?

By
Dan Moore
|
December 18, 2024

Inflation is a critical factor that can significantly impact your retirement savings. As a financial advisor, it's essential to help clients understand how inflation erodes purchasing power over time and what strategies they can use to protect their retirement nest egg. Inflation doesn’t just affect the cost of living today—it can have long-term consequences on the value of your retirement savings, especially if not accounted for in your financial plan.

In this guide, we will explore how inflation impacts retirement savings and provides strategies to mitigate its effects. We'll also answer key questions about protecting your retirement savings from inflation, using inflation-adjusted calculators, and increasing your savings rate to stay ahead of rising costs.

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What are the best strategies to protect retirement savings from inflation?

Inflation can be a silent threat to your retirement. Over time, it reduces the value of money, meaning that what you save today may not go as far tomorrow. Here are some strategies to help protect your retirement savings from inflation:

1. Invest in Inflation-Protected Assets

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS): TIPS are government bonds that adjust their principal based on changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This ensures that your investment keeps pace with inflation.

Stocks: Historically, stocks have outpaced inflation over the long term. Companies often raise prices during inflationary periods, which can lead to higher revenues and stock prices.

Real Estate: Property values tend to rise with inflation. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) offer a way to invest in real estate without directly owning property.

Commodities: Commodities like gold and oil often increase in value during periods of high inflation, providing a hedge against rising prices.

2. Diversify Your Portfolio

A well-diversified portfolio can help mitigate the risks posed by inflation. By spreading investments across different asset classes—such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and commodities—you reduce the risk of any one asset class underperforming due to inflation [1] [3].

3. Delay Social Security Benefits

 Delaying Social Security benefits can increase your monthly payments by up to 8% per year after full retirement age. This adjustment helps offset the impact of inflation on your overall income stream [10].

4. Increase Contributions Annually

To keep pace with inflation, consider increasing your retirement contributions by 1-2% each year. This strategy ensures that you're saving more as costs rise [8].

5. Consider Annuities with Inflation Riders

Some annuities offer an option for an inflation rider, which adjusts payouts based on inflation rates. This can help ensure that your income keeps pace with rising costs during retirement [7].

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How can I use inflation-adjusted retirement calculators effectively?

Inflation-adjusted retirement calculators are powerful tools for estimating how much you'll need to save for retirement while accounting for future price increases.

1. Input Realistic Inflation Rates

Most calculators allow you to input an expected rate of inflation. Financial advisors typically recommend using a conservative estimate of around 3%, which is slightly higher than the Federal Reserve's target of 2% [9]. This ensures that you're prepared for potential spikes in inflation.

2. Factor in Healthcare Costs

Healthcare costs tend to rise faster than general inflation rates. Be sure to include healthcare expenses in your calculations and consider using a higher inflation rate for these costs [10]..

3. Adjust for Different Time Horizons

If you're decades away from retiring, use a higher rate of return assumption for your investments since you have more time to recover from market volatility. However, if you're close to retiring, shift towards more conservative assumptions and lower expected returns [6].

4. Review Regularly

Inflation rates change over time, so it's important to revisit your calculations annually or whenever there are significant economic shifts [8].

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What impact does inflation have on retirement savings if I'm close to retiring?

If you're nearing retirement, the effects of inflation become more pronounced because you have less time to adjust your savings or investment strategy.

1. Reduced Purchasing Power

As you approach retirement, your ability to earn additional income diminishes, making it harder to compensate for rising costs through increased savings or wages [12]. For example, if you're planning to live off $50,000 per year in today’s dollars, you may need closer to $80,000 per year in 20 years due to inflation [7].

2. Fixed-Income Risks

Retirees who rely heavily on fixed-income investments like bonds may find that their purchasing power erodes quickly during periods of high inflation [6]. Consider shifting some assets into investments that offer growth potential or are indexed for inflation.

3. Social Security Adjustments

While Social Security benefits are adjusted annually for inflation through Cost-of-Living Adjustments (COLA), these increases may not fully cover rising expenses like healthcare and housing [7] [12].

4. Impact on Investment Returns

Near-retirees often shift towards more conservative investments like bonds or cash equivalents as they approach retirement age. However, these assets may not keep up with inflation, leading to reduced real returns over time [6].

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How can I increase my retirement savings rate to keep pace with inflation?

Increasing your savings rate is one of the most effective ways to combat the long-term effects of inflation on your retirement.

1. Automate Contribution Increases

Many employer-sponsored plans allow you to automate annual contribution increases by a set percentage (e.g., 1-2%). This ensures that you're consistently saving more as your salary grows and as prices rise [8].

2. Maximize Employer Contributions

If your employer offers matching contributions for a 401(k) or similar plan, contribute at least enough to receive the full match—this is essentially free money that helps counteract the effects of inflation [4].

3. Cut Non-Essential Spending

Review your budget regularly and identify areas where you can cut back on discretionary spending (e.g., dining out or entertainment). Redirect those funds into your retirement accounts [4].

4. Delay Major Expenses

If possible, delay large purchases until after you've increased your savings rate or until you've reached certain financial milestones in preparation for retirement.

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What are the long-term effects of inflation on retirement plans?

Inflation has several long-term effects on retirement plans that can significantly alter how much you'll need and how long your savings will last.

1. Erosion of Purchasing Power

Over time, even moderate levels of inflation can erode the value of fixed-income streams like pensions or annuities without cost-of-living adjustments (COLA) [9]. For instance, at an average annual inflation rate of 3%, prices double roughly every 24 years.

2. Increased Healthcare Costs

Healthcare tends to inflate faster than other goods and services—retirees typically spend three times more on healthcare than working adults [7]. Failing to account for this could leave you underfunded during critical years.

3. Longevity Risk

As life expectancy increases, retirees face the risk of outliving their savings—especially if those savings don’t grow fast enough to keep pace with rising costs [11]. Planning for a longer-than-expected lifespan is crucial.

4. Investment Volatility  

High levels of inflation often lead central banks like the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, which can negatively affect bond prices and increase market volatility [9]. Retirees who rely heavily on bonds may see reduced returns during these periods.

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Conclusion
Inflation is an unavoidable reality that must be factored into any comprehensive retirement plan. By understanding its effects and implementing strategies such as diversifying investments, using TIPS or stocks as hedges against rising prices, and increasing savings rates annually, you can better protect yourself from its long-term impact.

Regularly reviewing and adjusting your plan is essential as economic conditions change over time—especially as you near retirement age when flexibility becomes limited.

For personalized advice tailored specifically to your situation, consider consulting with a financial advisor who can help guide you through these complex decisions.

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Dan Moore

Hi there 👋🏼, I’m Dan and like to take a four-step approach with my clients. I always start by deeply understanding my clients needs and their families to grasp their financial goals. I want to make sure we establish a comprehensive financial plan that addresses retirement needs, asset optimization, potential incapacity and tax efficiency. I want to make sure my clients know I am here to help.

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Dan Moore is an investment adviser representative with Savvy Advisors, Inc. (“Savvy Advisors”). Savvy Advisors is an SEC registered investment advisor. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the speakers and authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of Savvy Advisors. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy.

References:

[1] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/retirement/052616/how-inflation-eats-away-your-retirement.asp

[2] https://www.soa.org/49d22d/globalassets/assets/files/resources/research-report/2024/inflation-retirement-savings-portfolios.pdf

[3] https://www.thrivent.com/insights/retirement-planning/how-does-inflation-affect-retirement-savings

[4] https://www.sunlife.ca/en/tools-and-resources/money-and-finances/saving-for-retirement/how-can-inflation-affect-your-retirement-plan/

[5] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation_adjusted_return.asp

[6] https://www.mercer.com/en-ca/insights/investments/market-outlook-and-trends/the-rise-of-inflation-pension-savings/

[7] https://www.annuity.org/retirement/risks/inflation/

[8] https://www.savvywealth.com/blog-posts/the-role-of-inflation-in-retirement-planning-strategies-for-a-secure-financial-future

[9] https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor-hub/article/what-is-inflation-and-how-it-impacts-your-retirement/

[10] https://www.bankrate.com/retirement/how-to-keep-inflation-from-wrecking-retirement/

[11] https://tritonfinancialgroup.com/inflation-impact-on-retirement-planning/

[12] https://crr.bc.edu/how-does-inflation-impact-near-retirees-and-retirees/

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Material prepared herein has been created for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation.  Information was obtained from sources believed to be reliable but was not verified for accuracy.  It is important to note that federal tax laws under the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) of the United States are subject to change, therefore it is the responsibility of taxpayers to verify their taxation obligations.

Savvy Wealth Inc. is a technology company.  Savvy Advisors, Inc. is an SEC registered investment advisor. For purposes of this article, Savvy Wealth and Savvy Advisors together are referred to as “Savvy”.  All advisory services are offered through Savvy Advisors, while technology is offered through Savvy Wealth.  The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the speakers and authors and do not necessarily reflect the views or positions of Savvy Advisors